2026 US Open Golf Odds

The annual US Open golf tournament is one of the biggest events on the summer sports betting calendar, the third major event of the golfing season. 

The 2026 edition will take place in Southampton, New York at the Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. This year marks the 126th edition of the US Open and the sixth time held at Shinnecock Hills, last hosting in 2018 when Brooks Koepka won.

Check out all the latest US Open golf odds for all of this year’s competitors below, along with other relevant wagering information from Lineups.com.

2026 US Open Futures Markets

Below are the latest 2026 US Open golf odds.

2026 US Open Outright Winner Odds

The U.S. Open has secured its identity as the toughest test in golf. Over the years, the USGA has delivered on that promise by pushing some of the most difficult U.S. golf venues to their absolute limits, whether that be through pinching fairways, growing out the rough, drying out the greens, or tucking pin locations. 

Of the vaunted list of U.S. Open host venues, Shinnecock Hills is in the conversation for the most difficult of them all. It is the only U.S. Open host site since 2014 to be won above par, when Brooks Koepka triumphed here in 2018 at +1. Shinnecock Hills has hosted a total of four U.S. Opens since 1986, with Ratief Goosen (-4), Corey Pavin (E), and Raymond Floyd (-1) also successfully conquering this beast over the years.

In addition to Koepka, the last five U.S. Open winners include J.J. Spaun, Bryson DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Jon Rahm. The blueprint to win at Shinnecock Hills is not dissimilar from 2025 or 2022, which happen to be the two most recent examples of pure bombers struggling to separate. There is a significant penalty for missing the fairways here, so accurate ball strikers who can reliably scramble for par will be rewarded here.

With difficult scoring conditions in store, and a single-digit-under-par winner all but guaranteed, elite short game will be required to win the 2026 U.S. Open. That of course makes Scottie Scheffler the most dangerous man in this field, and he’ll have a very legitimate chance to claim the career Grand Slam in his very first attempt. Other elite scramblers who may surprise as contenders at the 2026 U.S. Open include Patrick Reed, Jordan Spieth, and Matt Fitzpatrick. 

2026 US Open Top 5 Finish Odds

The top 5 market, particularly in majors, is one I tend to target for players who fit the profile to play well at Shinnecock Hills, but may lack the experience or pedigree needed to close a major championship. Players like Ludvig Aberg, Tommy Fleetwood, and Si Woo Kim have looked excellent in 2026, but have failed to convert on their opportunities on Sundays thus far.

2026 US Open Top 10 Finish Odds

The top 10 market is an opportunity for exposure for high-upside sleepers. Brooks Koepka, Joaquin Niemman, Justin Thomas, and Shane Lowry each have shown volatility this season, but possess top-10 upside, given their proven historic pedigree at this event.

2026 US Open Leader After Round 1 Odds

I will be monitoring the weather closely when it comes to First Round Leader bets at the U.S. Open. A links-style course like Shinnecock Hills lies heavily exposed to the wind, creating potential weather wave advantages for those who play when gusts are down. If this does become a competition of flighted shots into gusting winds, look for sleepers like Aaron Rai, Daniel Berger, or Gary Woodland to emerge as high upside First Round Leader candidates.

2026 US Open Golf Schedule

• TBD

2026 US Open Contenders

Below is a list of top contenders to win the 2026 US Open.

Scottie Scheffler

Best Odds:

All eyes will be on the World No. 1 at Shinnecock Hills, as the four-time major champion will get his first crack at achieving the career Grand Slam. Shinnecock Hills may be the most ideal U.S. Open setup we’ve ever seen for Scheffler’s game, as it rewards elite total driving, flighted approaches into constant wind, and creative scrambling around the greens.

Scheffler is not a pure bomber, which has played against him on longer U.S. Open venues like Oak Hill, Los Angeles Country Club, Torrey Pines, and Winged Foot. Here, accurate driving will go rewarded, making him the prohibitive betting favorite and clear number 1 threat to win the 2026 U.S. Open.

Rory McIlroy

Best Odds:

It’s been another great start to the season for the World No. 2, who dominated at Augusta National two months ago to claim his second green jacket. McIlroy will be fresh heading into this event, opting for a very selective PGA Tour schedule in 2026. Even still, he remains in great form with four top-15 finishes over his first six starts of the year.

The driver has been a concern for McIlroy, who’s lone win of 2026 came in spite of an extremely sporadic performance off the tee. Shinnecock Hills will be far more penalizing to wayward drives than Augusta National’s massive fairways, so I’m cautiously skeptical about McIlroy’s ability to contend here if the driving accuracy does not improve considerably.

Cameron Young

Best Odds:

It’s a pseudo home game for New York’s own Cameron Young, who tore apart the Met Golf scene as a junior golfer. Young has all the shots needed in his bag to contend any given week on the PGA Tour, as he’s demonstrated with wins this year at The Players Championship and Cadillac Championship. 

Young’s comfortability hitting flighted tee shots and approaches will serve him well at Shinnecock Hills. With six top-10 finishes over his last eight starts, Young is a worthy favorite as he continues to search for his first career major championship.

2026 US Open Sleepers

Below is a list of top sleepers to win the 2026 US Open.

Jordan Spieth

Best Odds:

It’s been a bit of a renaissance year for Spieth in 2026, showing flashes of brilliance that have made him a three-time major champion. Spieth has finished inside the top 20 in seven of his last 11 starts, and will now face his favorite style of course setup: links golf. 

Chambers Bay, the site of the 2015 U.S. Open, is perhaps the closest one-to-one comp to Shinnecock Hills amongst U.S. Open venues. Each invite unpredictability at every turn, require elite ball striking, and creativity around the greens. We don’t get to see American links courses often, but we have grown accustomed to seeing Spieth contend whenever he plays this style of golf. 

Brooks Koepka

Best Odds:

The great constant in modern major championships, Brooks has built a hall of fame career from his elite play in the most difficult conditions. Brooks especially loves New York golf, picking up 3 major wins across Oak Hill, Bethpage Black, and Shinnecock Hills. 

Brooks is the defending champion at this venue, surviving a borderline “lost” course that was firmed up to its absolute limits. He flexed the versatility of his game that week by leaning on his finesse around the greens, rather than the brute force he traditionally approached majors with. With six top-20 finishes over his last nine starts, Brooks’ form looks good enough to add to his major tally.

Tommy Fleetwood

Best Odds:

Tommy Fleetwood did what no one thought was possible at Shinnecock Hills, shooting a course record 7-under 63 in the final round of the 2018 U.S. Open. A mainstay contender on the British links, it was hardly a surprise to see Fleetwood’s game translate on this American links setup eight years ago. It was, however, surprising to see that it’s taken nearly a full eight years for Tommy to claim his first career PGA Tour win since his runner up finish here in 2018. 

Does Tommy have what it takes to breakthrough for his first major win now? He’s fallen out of form a bit tis Spring, but a T5 at the Truist Championship shows his peak is not long gone. 

2026 US Open Longshots

Below is a list of top longshots to win the 2026 US Open.

Joaquin Niemann

Best Odds:

We have been waiting for the talented Chilean to convert his regular season dominance into meaningful major results. He may just be a turning a corner now with a T18 finish at last month’s PGA Championship and a T8 at Quail Hollow the year prior.

Niemann has a game for links golf, mastering the art of flighted tee shots and approaches. His short game can be volatile at times, but when it’s on, Niemann’s A game is good enough to beat anyone in the world. He won his most recent LIV start in Korea, marking his 6th win over the last two seasons. 

Cameron Smith

Best Odds:

Generally speaking, anyone who has won The Players and The Open over the last four years is fully capable of winning at Shinnecock Hills as well. It took Smith some time to regain his footing playing full time on LIV, but we’re starting to see glimpses of his elite 2022 form yet again.

Smith contended at Aronimink last month, finishing T7 to break a streak of six consecutive missed cuts in majors. The results on LIV have been gradually better this year as well, with five top-15 finishes over his first eight starts. The driver, as always, is the concern with Smith. But if he sustain his world-best short game, it may not matter. 

Patrick Reed

Best Odds:

It’s been a fascinating season for Patrick Reed, who left LIV, won two of his first three DP World Tour starts, and now seems content to only play in the majors until he’s officially earned 2027 PGA Tour status. 

A lack of reps in-between majors has not influenced his play, as Reed has finished T12 and T10 in the first two majors of the year. If conditions are harsh, and Shinnecock Hills becomes another scrambling contest, Reed will be licking his chops as one of the most reliable scramblers in this field. 

2026 US Open Odds Comparison

Compare the best 2026 US Open odds with the top regulated books below.